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16g New 4.2 Obsidium Shuffle Floor Price And Here's Why
Recent news from the Patch 4.2 Public Test Realm (PTR) that the vendor price for uncut uncommon Cataclysm gems has being reduced from 5 gold each to 50 silver (See "Patch 4.2 PTR: Uncut green gems vendor price reduced") has lead many to wonder: "What is the new vendor "price floor" of a 20 stack of Obsidium Ore?"
The answer to that question as well as some advice on what to do to prepare after the jump.
A Little History
Before Patch 4.1 the vendor price for cut uncommon Cataclysm gems was 9g each. This made price floor for a 20 stack of Obsidium Ore 54g (assuming that prospecting a 20 stack of Obsidium Ore will net you 6 uncommon Cataclysm gems).
Patch 4.1 dropped the vendor value of gems down to 75 silver. (See "It's Official: Cut Uncommon Cata Gems Vendor For 75 Silver In Patch 4.1".) While the cut gems now sold for very little the uncut uncommon Cayaclysm gems vendored for 5g each. This meant that the new price floor for a 20 stack of Obsidium Ore was now 30g.
Many jewelcrafters simply went about there business as before with the exception that they would now wait for ore to drop to 30g per stack rather then 54g per stack to be able to prospect "worry-free".
If the upcoming drop in price for uncut uncommon Cataclysm gems happens what is the new price floor for a stack of Obsidium Ore? At what price can jewelcrafters safely but up ore in order to prospect worry-free again?
The answer isn't as simple as it once was. I'm going to go through a few different scenarios in order to try to find an answer.
Let's start with the simplest baseline price floor which is simply cutting and vendoring the 6 uncommon Cataclysm gems we would obtain by prospecting a 20 stack of Obsidium Ore. At 75 silver a piece that would equal 4.5g per stack (3g if you sold the gems raw). 4.5g per stack is far less than the old 30g per stack. Let's see if we can do better.
One possibility that has been suggested in the community is that the new floor price is simply the vendor price of the bars that can be made with that ore. A 20 stack of Obsidium Ore is enough to create 10 Obsidium Bars. Currently Obsidium Bars vendor for 50s each. 10*0.5=5g. So we've increased out price floor from 4.5g to 5g. That is a gain of 50 silver per stack. Whoo!! We're rich! I think we can still do better.
Perhaps we need to convert our 10 Obsidium Bars into something more valuable with Blacksmithing. Looking at the "Reagent for" tab for Obsidium Bars we can see the only thing Blacksmithing can use them for is Folded Obsidium. It takes (2) Obsidium Bars to make (1) Folded Obsidium that would vendor for 50s.
We could craft 5 pieces of Folded Obsidium which would vendor for a total of 2.5g per 20 stack of Obsidium Ore. Wait a minute. We seem to be going backwards.
But wait! Perhaps we can craft something with our newly acquired (5) Folded Obsidium. The "Reagent for" tab for Folded Obsidium shows us what we could craft with them. Looking down the lest it seems that Redsteel Boots has the highest vendor value for an items crafted with 5 Folded Obsidium. It vendors for 5g 3s 61c.
We have a winner (so far). We've increased out highest price floor by a whopping 3s 61c! We're up from 5g (vendoring 10 Obsidium Bars) to 5g 3s 61c (vendoring Redsteel Boots). Things are hoting up.
Engineers also make items with Obsidium Bars. Lets explore that avenue. We know from the mining section that we have 10 Obsidium Bars to work with. By again referencing the "Reagent for" tab for Obsidium Bars we see Engineers can craft (2-3) Handful of Obsidium Bolts with (2) Obsidium Bars.
This gives us enough materials to craft the recipe 5 times which would give us 10-15 Handful of Obsidium Bolts. Taking the average of 12.5 Handful of Obsidium Bolts times the vendor value of 32s 75c per Handful of Obsidium Bolts we get a total of 4g 9s 38c. Strike out! Bummer for our engineer buddies.
So far Blacksmiths are in the lead with 5g 3s 81c for a 20 stack of Obsidium Bars.
Return of the Alchemists
Lets let alchemists have their turn. Assuming a jewelcrafter has already prospected 6 uncommon Cataclysm gems from a 20 stack or ore, that is 1/3 of the reagents needed to craft (2) Shadowspirit Diamonds.
The vendor value for (1) uncut Shadowspirit Diamond is 5g. We craft (2) per transmute so that equals 10g. We only provided 1/3 of the reagents so 10/3=3.3333. So a total of 3g 33s 33c (repeating of course). Things aren't looking so hot in the alchemist camp. Sorry guys. back to fiddling with test tubes for you!
Jewelcrafters Strike Back
But the jewelcrafters aren't going to take this lying down! Let's show them how to rock a price floor proper! We obtain ~6 uncommon gems from a 20 stack of Obsidium Ore.We will be using one of every color in this exercise. Let's get rocking.
- (1) Zephyrite - Cut and vendor for 75s.
- (1) Alicite - 1/2 the reagents to craft and vendor an Alicite Pendant. (1) Alicite Pendant vendor price: 5g 50s 86c. (1) Jeweler's Setting price: 1g 50s (assuming no faction discount). (5.5086/2)-(1.5/2) = 2.7543-0.75 = 2g 43c.
- (1) Nightstone - 1/2 the reagents to craft and vendor a Nightstone Choker. (1) Nightstone Choker vendor price: 5g 50s 86c. (1) Jeweler's Setting price: 1g 50s (assuming no faction discount). (5.5086/2)-(1.5/2) = 2.7543-0.75 = 2g 43c.
- (1) Hessonite - 1/2 the reagents to craft and vendor a Hessonite Band. (1) Hessonite Band vendor price: 5g 50s 86c. (1) Jeweler's Setting price: 1g 50s (assuming no faction discount). (5.5086/2)-(1.5/2) = 2.7543-0.75 = 2g 43c.
- (1) Jasper - Reagent to craft and vendor a Jasper Ring. (1) Jasper Ring vendor price: 5g 50s 86c. (1) Jeweler's Setting price: 1g 50s (assuming no faction discount). 5.5086-1.5 = 2.7543-.75 = 4g 85c.
- (1) Carnelian - 1/3 the reagents to craft and vendor Carnelian Spikes. (1) Carnelian Spikes vendor price: 19g 48s 24c. (3) Jeweler's Setting price: 4g 50s (assuming no faction discount). (19.4824/3)-(4.5/3) = 6.4941-1.5 = 4g 99s 41c.
Adding the above 6 values together we get 15g 76s 55c. Ding! Ding! Ding! We have a winner.
So there you have it folks. Spelled out in black and white. The new vendor floor price for Obsidium Ore is 15g 76s 55c. If I were a rounding man I would call it 16g.
Now that we have that number we can set our minds at ease and wait for the ore prices to drop down to 16g per 20 stack of Obsidium Ore.
What To Do Now?
If you are sitting on a mountainous pile of uncommon Cataclysm gems and you don't want to have to craft it all into jewelery in order to make half of what you could make now then be sure to vendor everything you haven't sold before patch 4.2 comes out.
The exceptions to the above rule are Carnelians as I doubt the demand for Inferno Rubies will diminish as well we any gems you are making tremendous profits with (Hessonite and Nighstone perhaps).
If it seems like you're experiencing déjà vu it's because this is the same advice I gave back before the first Obsidium Shuffle nerf. (See "The Obsidium Shuffle Is Dead - Patch 4.1 Uncommon Gem Vendor Price 75s".)
While I've discussed it before I have very little preparation to do for patch 4.2. Due to my adherence to a "just-in-time" philosophy when it comes to the jewelcrafting market I have under 1 stack of each uncommon Cataclysm gem. Before the Patch I'll simply vendor them uncut and be done.
Stockpiling is not always your friend.
I think it's pretty clear that Blizzard it targeting the profits of botters, hackers and gold farmers with these changes. If they can remove as much of the "easy money" as they can from the materials gathered from easily botted professions (mining and herbalism) than they disincentivize the farming.
In this case all our profits are casualties of the misconduct of a small few companies/players who abuse the game for real-world profits.
- How are you going to adjust to the new price floor of 16g?
- What did we learn from the Patch 4.1 shuffle nerf that we can apply to the 4.2 nerf?
- Why do you believe Blizzard is making these changes?
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